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Multi‑Touch Attribution Explained: Models, Trade‑offs, and When to Use Each

Express Analytics Team

Published on: · 7 min read
Multi-Touch Attribution Explained: Models, Trade-offs, and When to Use Each

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https://www.expressanalytics.com/learn/multi-touch-attribution-explained

Learn detail

Last-click gives all the credit to the final touch. Multi-touch spreads it across the journey. Learn the main models, what each one is good at, and how to pick one.

Why attribution matters

Attribution decides which channels get credit for a conversion, and credit decides budget. Pick the wrong model and you will keep funding the channel that closes deals while starving the ones that start them.

The main models

  • Last-click: 100% of the credit goes to the final touch. Simple, but it overvalues branded search and retargeting.
  • First-click: 100% goes to the first touch. Useful for judging awareness, blind to everything after.
  • Linear: credit is split evenly across every touch. Fair, but it treats a passing impression like a demo request.
  • Time-decay: touches closer to conversion earn more. Good for short, sales-led cycles.
  • Position-based (U-shaped): 40% to the first touch, 40% to the last, 20% shared across the middle. A sensible default for B2B.
  • Data-driven: a model (Shapley values or Markov chains) learns each touch's contribution from your own paths. The most accurate option, but it needs volume.
  • How to choose

    1. Under ~300 conversions a month? Use position-based. Data-driven models will be noisy.
  • Long B2B cycle with many stakeholders? Position-based or data-driven, measured at the account level.
  • Short e-commerce cycle? Time-decay or data-driven.
  • Common pitfalls

    • Comparing channels across models. Pick one model per report.
  • Ignoring offline and dark-social touches. Every attribution model is limited by what you track.
  • Treating attribution as causal. To prove that a channel actually caused lift, pair attribution with incrementality tests.
  • Key takeaway

    No model is true; some are useful. Start with position-based, add holdout tests to check it, and move to data-driven once you have the volume to support it.

    End of article
    Tags:#Attribution#Marketing Analytics
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